Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.203486 0.236148 0.274190 0.322227 0.381914 0.454510 0.550852
2025-02-16 0.154035 0.194673 0.247843 0.324402 0.435151 0.595240 0.855801
2025-02-23 0.125533 0.168533 0.229762 0.327271 0.486948 0.755439 1.286886
2025-03-02 0.106659 0.149858 0.215505 0.328837 0.534833 0.931431 1.881643
2025-03-09 0.092614 0.134825 0.202364 0.326933 0.574466 1.113013 2.669342
2025-03-16 0.081235 0.121616 0.188941 0.320044 0.601071 1.283066 3.646294
2025-03-23 0.074802 0.115194 0.185434 0.330218 0.667144 1.593143 5.615384
2025-03-30 0.067352 0.105856 0.174899 0.323376 0.691409 1.809629 7.740703
2025-04-06 0.062552 0.100423 0.170559 0.328404 0.747903 2.179179 11.971431
2025-04-13 0.057502 0.093857 0.162921 0.324120 0.777831 2.488508 17.427741
2025-04-20 0.054159 0.090008 0.160035 0.330260 0.841897 3.016535 29.443572
2025-04-27 0.051521 0.087154 0.158706 0.339918 0.923002 3.748611 56.169280
2025-05-04 0.048843 0.083988 0.156398 0.347057 1.002742 4.640999 119.360278
2025-05-11 0.046607 0.081457 0.155136 0.356978 1.101319 5.904453 330.342103
2025-05-18 0.044304 0.078535 0.152562 0.362648 1.188601 7.364599 1191.967800
2025-05-25 0.042043 0.075463 0.149195 0.365201 1.266123 9.050972 7733.509211
2025-06-01 0.039757 0.072110 0.144707 0.363253 1.323211 10.811015 294391.965126
2025-06-08 0.037387 0.068363 0.138796 0.355420 1.347360 12.331741 NaN
2025-06-15 0.036199 0.067062 0.138753 0.367123 1.488463 16.710430 NaN
2025-06-22 0.034203 0.063810 0.133378 0.359272 1.512521 19.190809 NaN
2025-06-29 0.032969 0.062152 0.131910 0.365049 1.628807 25.281510 NaN
2025-07-06 0.031391 0.059588 0.127769 0.360130 1.672962 30.167000 NaN
2025-07-13 0.030400 0.058283 0.126832 0.367181 1.811524 41.588852 NaN